The rebound of a dead cat – what is it in trading?
Inertia allows an inanimate object to slightly rebound after hitting a surface. Stock traders attributed this property to a dead cat, which also has mass and inertia. This humorous concept has become popular and is still used in cryptocurrency trading.
Dead Cat Bounce
The term refers to a phenomenon that occurs during a market decline. Dead cat bounce is a short-lived recovery in the price of a cryptocurrency, after which the price drops even lower. False market rebounds can also be used as synonyms for this concept. Such a bounce is one of the price patterns used in technical analysis.
Can Dead Cat Bounce be Identified in Practice?
There is no simple way to identify a bounce before it happens. However, it has its own characteristics:
- The price of the cryptocurrency keeps falling.
- The cryptocurrency's price temporarily recovers.
- After the recovery, the asset falls even further below the previous low - the cat always returns to where it bounced from.
- The price drops by 5% or more and then starts to rise briefly.
Causes of Dead Cat Bounce
A bounce is usually the result of speculative day traders. These players start buying the asset in large quantities, expecting the price to recover. However, the buyers' interest is short-lived, and speculators soon sell even more actively, causing the currency's value to plummet again.
Another reason is a mass exodus from positions. The order book is filled with sell orders, and the mass execution of these orders leads to a short-term increase in the cryptocurrency's price.
Can Profit be Derived from such a Situation?
There are several ways to benefit from this phenomenon:
- Engaging in short-term intraday trades during the short-lived rise.
- Opportunity for a trader to take a short position.
- A psychological indicator that allows identifying panic sentiments in a bearish market.
It is not recommended for novice traders to trade during short-term bounces. After all, the bounce is dangerous precisely because it masquerades as a trend reversal. It is better to wait for a true reversal and then continue trading. The profits will be slightly lower, but the risks will be reduced.